Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 29, 2025 • 4:00 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Francisco Cerundolo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~16,007 points across 101 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~16,007 points across 101 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Francisco Cerundolo
59% · 16–11 on hard
66% · 21–11 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,971 points across 78 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,971 points across 78 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 25% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 41% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Zverev and Francisco Cerundolo are set to meet at the Madrid on April 29, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Zverev enters with a 18–7 record on clay courts in 2025, while Cerundolo has posted a 21–11 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cerundolo entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zverev leads 4–3 over Cerundolo, including a win in their most recent meeting.