Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Fils · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 26, 2025 • 7:15 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Arthur Fils
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,343 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,343 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.7 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arthur Fils
61% · 11–7 on hard
71% · 10–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,254 points across 32 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,254 points across 32 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 64% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.9 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Zverev and Arthur Fils are set to meet at the Miami on March 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Zverev enters with a 31–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Fils has posted a 11–7 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fils entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zverev leads 4–2 over Fils, including a win in their most recent meeting.