Alexander Shevchenko vs Hugo Gaston · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bordeaux • Clay • May 12, 2026 • 6:15 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Alexander Shevchenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Shevchenko
52% · 11–10 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,617 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,617 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hugo Gaston
56% · 9–7 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Shevchenko and Hugo Gaston are set to meet at the Bordeaux on May 12, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Shevchenko enters with a 4–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Gaston has posted a 3–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shevchenko entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Shevchenko leads 1–0 over Gaston, including a win in their most recent meeting.