Alexander Donski vs Max Houkes · Match odds & ELO prediction
Kigali 2 • Clay • Mar 11, 2026 • 8:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Max Houkes
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Donski
69% · 9–4 on hard
37% · 7–12 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Max Houkes
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~192 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~192 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.0 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Donski and Max Houkes are set to meet at the Kigali 2 on March 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Donski enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Houkes has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Houkes entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Houkes leads 2–0 over Donski, including a win in their most recent meeting.