Match analytics

Alexander Bublik vs Roman Safiullin · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rome • Clay • May 8, 2025 • 2:30 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Alexander Bublik

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alexander Bublik

HARDSmall sample

100% · 40 on hard

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,690 points across 64 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.589% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.123% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
+0.049% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%49% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Roman Safiullin

HARD

43% · 912 on hard

CLAY

43% · 34 on clay

GRASS

20% · 14 on grass

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,658 points across 26 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.460% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.025% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-5.411% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
41%27% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alexander Bublik and Roman Safiullin are set to meet at the Rome on May 8, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Bublik enters with a 23–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Safiullin has posted a 3–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Safiullin entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Safiullin leads 2–1 over Bublik.

Recent singles form slightly favors Bublik, who has won 5 of his last five matches, while Safiullin has gone 2–3 over the same span.