Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 26, 2026 • 2:25 PM
Final score
1 - 3
Winner Jan-Lennard Struff
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,861 points across 78 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,861 points across 78 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.5 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jan-Lennard Struff
36% · 5–9 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,961 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,961 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.1 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 48% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Bublik and Jan-Lennard Struff are set to meet at the French Open on May 26, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Bublik enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Struff has posted a 1–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bublik entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Struff leads 4–3 over Bublik, including a win in their most recent meeting.