Alexander Bublik vs Arthur Cazaux · Match odds & ELO prediction
Kitzbuhel • Clay • Jul 26, 2025 • 12:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alexander Bublik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,861 points across 78 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,861 points across 78 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.5 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arthur Cazaux
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,357 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,357 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 67% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 74% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Bublik and Arthur Cazaux are set to meet at the Kitzbuhel on July 26, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Bublik enters with a 23–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Cazaux has posted a 8–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bublik entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bublik leads 3–0 over Cazaux, including a win in their most recent meeting.