Alex Michelsen vs Yunchaokete Bu · Match odds & ELO prediction
Acapulco • Hard • Feb 26, 2025 • 5:15 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Alex Michelsen
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex Michelsen
63% · 12–7 on hard
33% · 2–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,208 points across 70 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,208 points across 70 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 46% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.8 | 55% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 65% | 85% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Yunchaokete Bu
56% · 9–7 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,500 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,500 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.0 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 25% | 5% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex Michelsen and Yunchaokete Bu are set to meet at the Acapulco on February 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Michelsen enters with a 17–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Bu has posted a 14–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Michelsen, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Michelsen leads 3–0 over Bu, including a win in their most recent meeting.