Match analytics

Alex Michelsen vs Yunchaokete Bu · Match odds & ELO prediction

Acapulco • Hard • Feb 26, 2025 • 5:15 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Alex Michelsen

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alex Michelsen

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

44%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,444 points across 53 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.134% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.145% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.250% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
62%78% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Yunchaokete Bu

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,393 points across 42 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.036% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.418% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-5.98% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
26%7% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alex Michelsen and Yunchaokete Bu are set to meet at the Acapulco on February 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Michelsen enters with a 17–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Bu has posted a 14–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Michelsen entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Michelsen leads 3–0 over Bu, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Michelsen and Bu alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.