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Match analytics

Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien · Match odds & ELO prediction

Next Gen Finals - Jeddah • Hard • Dec 21, 2024 • 4:10 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 3

Winner Learner Tien

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alex Michelsen

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,587 points across 54 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.037% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.146% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.251% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
62%79% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Learner Tien

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,158 points across 72 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.134% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.774% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.165% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
48%41% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alex Michelsen and Learner Tien are set to meet at the Next Gen Finals - Jeddah on December 21, 2024 in a hard-court singles match. Michelsen enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2024, while Tien has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tien entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Michelsen leads 3–1 over Tien, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Michelsen and Tien alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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