Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien · Match odds & ELO prediction
Geneva • Clay • May 21, 2026 • 4:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Learner Tien
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex Michelsen
63% · 12–7 on hard
33% · 2–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,504 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,504 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 50% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Learner Tien
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,192 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,192 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 71% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex Michelsen and Learner Tien are set to meet at the Geneva on May 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Michelsen enters with a 2–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Tien has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Michelsen entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Michelsen leads 3–1 over Tien, including a win in their most recent meeting.