Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 9:00 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex Michelsen
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,154 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,154 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 50% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Federico Cina
65% · 22–12 on hard
53% · 10–9 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,310 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,310 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -9.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex Michelsen and Federico Cina are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Michelsen enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Cina has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Michelsen entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Michelsen and Cina at the professional level.