Alex Michelsen vs Corentin Moutet · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cincinnati • Hard • Aug 9, 2025 • 3:15 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Alex Michelsen
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex Michelsen
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,154 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,154 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 50% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Corentin Moutet
58% · 22–16 on hard
47% · 8–9 on clay
69% · 9–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,700 points across 68 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,700 points across 68 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.2 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 51% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex Michelsen and Corentin Moutet are set to meet at the Cincinnati on August 9, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Michelsen enters with a 17–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Moutet has posted a 22–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Moutet leads 3–1 over Michelsen, including a win in their most recent meeting.