Alex De Minaur vs Ugo Humbert · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rotterdam • Hard • Feb 14, 2026 • 2:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alex De Minaur
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex De Minaur
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,854 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,854 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ugo Humbert
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,620 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,620 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex De Minaur and Ugo Humbert are set to meet at the Rotterdam on February 14, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Minaur enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Humbert has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Humbert entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Minaur leads 7–1 over Humbert, including a win in their most recent meeting.