Alex De Minaur vs Jakub Mensik · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP United Cup • Hard • Jan 6, 2026 • 8:20 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alex De Minaur
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex De Minaur
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,854 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,854 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jakub Mensik
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,832 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,832 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex De Minaur and Jakub Mensik are set to meet at the ATP United Cup on January 6, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Minaur enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Mensik has posted a 1–2 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Minaur leads 4–0 over Mensik, including a win in their most recent meeting.