Alex Bolt vs Yuta Shimizu · Match odds & ELO prediction
Brisbane • Hard • Feb 4, 2026 • 2:00 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alex Bolt
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex Bolt
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,545 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,545 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 56% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Yuta Shimizu
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,001 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,001 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex Bolt and Yuta Shimizu are set to meet at the Brisbane on February 4, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Bolt enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Shimizu has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Shimizu leads 4–3 over Bolt.