Alex Barrena vs August Holmgren · Match odds & ELO prediction
Francavilla • Clay • May 5, 2026 • 9:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner August Holmgren
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex Barrena
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~510 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~510 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.3 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
August Holmgren
50% · 12–12 on hard
100% · 1–0 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,135 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,135 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.5 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex Barrena and August Holmgren are set to meet at the Francavilla on May 5, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Barrena enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Holmgren has posted a 1–0 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Barrena entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Holmgren leads 2–0 over Barrena, including a win in their most recent meeting.