Match analytics

Aleksandar Vukic vs Frances Tiafoe · Match odds & ELO prediction

Brisbane • Hard • Jan 4, 2026 • 7:10 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Frances Tiafoe

Key insights

Player performance profile

Aleksandar Vukic

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,585 points across 64 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.156% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.47% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.562% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
48%41% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Frances Tiafoe

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,074 points across 47 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.749% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.559% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.260% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
57%64% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Aleksandar Vukic and Frances Tiafoe are set to meet at the Brisbane on January 4, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Vukic enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tiafoe has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Vukic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tiafoe leads 3–1 over Vukic, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Vukic and Tiafoe have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.