Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Jacob Fearnley · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 5, 2026 • 11:35 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Jacob Fearnley
Key insights
Player performance profile
Aleksandar Kovacevic
47% · 9–10 on hard
33% · 2–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,129 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,129 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 81% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.9 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 29% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jacob Fearnley
29% · 4–10 on hard
100% · 2–0 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,476 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,476 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 90% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Aleksandar Kovacevic and Jacob Fearnley are set to meet at the Rome on May 5, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kovacevic enters with a 2–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Fearnley has posted a 2–0 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Fearnley, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Fearnley leads 1–0 over Kovacevic, including a win in their most recent meeting.