Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hamburg • Clay • May 21, 2026 • 3:15 PM
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Head-to-head
H2H (0)
No previous meetings
Head-to-head
H2H (0)
No previous meetings
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Aleksandar Kovacevic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Aleksandar Kovacevic
47% · 9–10 on hard
33% · 2–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,129 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,129 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 81% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.9 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 29% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
29% · 2–5 on hard
67% · 12–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,817 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,817 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.6 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Aleksandar Kovacevic and Camilo Ugo Carabelli are set to meet at the Hamburg on May 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kovacevic enters with a 2–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Carabelli has posted a 12–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Carabelli entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Kovacevic and Carabelli at the professional level.