Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Barrios Vera · Match odds & ELO prediction
Santiago • Clay • Feb 25, 2026 • 12:20 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alejandro Tabilo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Tabilo
55% · 6–5 on hard
72% · 18–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,538 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,538 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.2 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tomas Barrios Vera
55% · 6–5 on hard
47% · 9–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,672 points across 32 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,672 points across 32 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 25% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Tabilo and Tomas Barrios Vera are set to meet at the Santiago on February 25, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Tabilo enters with a 18–7 record on clay courts in 2026, while Vera has posted a 9–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tabilo entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.