Alejandro Tabilo vs Taylor Fritz · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 10, 2025 • 9:20 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Taylor Fritz
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Tabilo
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,870 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,870 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 68% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.0 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 42% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,625 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,625 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.8 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.4 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 66% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Tabilo and Taylor Fritz are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 10, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tabilo enters with a 21–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Fritz has posted a 36–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fritz entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Fritz leads 4–0 over Tabilo, including a win in their most recent meeting.