Alejandro Tabilo vs Luciano Darderi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Chengdu • Hard • Sep 19, 2025 • 5:20 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alejandro Tabilo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Tabilo
55% · 6–5 on hard
72% · 18–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,538 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,538 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.2 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luciano Darderi
29% · 6–15 on hard
73% · 30–11 on clay
33% · 2–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,423 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,423 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Tabilo and Luciano Darderi are set to meet at the Chengdu on September 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tabilo enters with a 21–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Darderi has posted a 6–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Tabilo, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.