Match analytics

Alejandro Tabilo vs Luciano Darderi · Match odds & ELO prediction

Chengdu • Hard • Sep 19, 2025 • 5:20 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Alejandro Tabilo

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alejandro Tabilo

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

47%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,248 points across 37 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.053% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.39% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.176% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
52%57% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Luciano Darderi

HARD

29% · 615 on hard

CLAY

73% · 3011 on clay

GRASS

33% · 24 on grass

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,740 points across 51 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.155% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.559% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-2.827% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
50%53% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alejandro Tabilo and Luciano Darderi are set to meet at the Chengdu on September 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tabilo enters with a 21–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Darderi has posted a 6–15 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Tabilo and Darderi alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.