Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Buse · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rio de Janeiro • Clay • Feb 22, 2026 • 2:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alejandro Tabilo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Tabilo
55% · 6–5 on hard
72% · 18–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,821 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,821 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 50% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 36% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ignacio Buse
60% · 3–2 on hard
50% · 8–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,408 points across 28 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,408 points across 28 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.3 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 15% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Tabilo and Ignacio Buse are set to meet at the Rio de Janeiro on February 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Tabilo enters with a 18–7 record on clay courts in 2026, while Buse has posted a 8–8 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Tabilo leads 4–0 over Buse, including a win in their most recent meeting.