Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Buse · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rio de Janeiro • Clay • Feb 22, 2026 • 2:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alejandro Tabilo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Tabilo
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,870 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,870 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 68% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.0 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 42% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ignacio Buse
47% · 7–8 on hard
67% · 39–19 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,620 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,620 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 71% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.5 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Tabilo and Ignacio Buse are set to meet at the Rio de Janeiro on February 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Tabilo enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Buse has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tabilo entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tabilo leads 3–0 over Buse, including a win in their most recent meeting.