Alejandro Tabilo vs Grigor Dimitrov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 10, 2025 • 4:00 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Grigor Dimitrov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Tabilo
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,248 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,248 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.1 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Grigor Dimitrov
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,751 points across 25 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,751 points across 25 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 88% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.2 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 82% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Tabilo and Grigor Dimitrov are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 10, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Tabilo enters with a 6–7 record on clay courts in 2025, while Dimitrov has posted a 5–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Dimitrov, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Dimitrov leads 3–0 over Tabilo, including a win in their most recent meeting.