Alejandro Moro Canas vs Vilius Gaubas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Murcia • Clay • Mar 17, 2026 • 10:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alejandro Moro Canas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Moro Canas
61% · 22–14 on hard
50% · 19–19 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,068 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,068 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.5 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Vilius Gaubas
33% · 3–6 on hard
65% · 36–19 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,230 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,230 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 78% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.1 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Moro Canas and Vilius Gaubas are set to meet at the Murcia on March 17, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Canas enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Gaubas has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gaubas entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Canas leads 2–1 over Gaubas, including a win in their most recent meeting.