Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henrique Rocha · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras 3 • Clay • Apr 17, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alejandro Moro Canas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Moro Canas
61% · 22–14 on hard
50% · 19–19 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,068 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,068 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.5 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Henrique Rocha
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,480 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,480 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 65% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.1 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 36% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Moro Canas and Henrique Rocha are set to meet at the Oeiras 3 on April 17, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Canas enters with a 19–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Rocha has posted a 15–17 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rocha, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Canas leads 4–0 over Rocha, including a win in their most recent meeting.