BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensik · Match odds & ELO prediction

Toronto • Hard • Aug 1, 2025 • 3:10 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,054 points across 69 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.036% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
0.790% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.388% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
59%71% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Jakub Mensik

HARDSmall sample

33% · 12 on hard

Games won (last 10)

58%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,832 points across 63 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.085% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.363% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.469% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
60%73% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Jakub Mensik are set to meet at the Toronto on August 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fokina enters with a 30–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Mensik has posted a 24–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Mensik, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Fokina leads 3–1 over Mensik, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Fokina and Mensik have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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