Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Felix Auger-Aliassime · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 15, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
3 - 2
Winner Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,601 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,601 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.3 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 74% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,193 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,193 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.0 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Felix Auger-Aliassime are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 15, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fokina enters with a 30–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Auger-Aliassime has posted a 43–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Auger-Aliassime leads 4–1 over Fokina.