Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Daniil Medvedev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Shanghai • Hard • Oct 6, 2025 • 1:20 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Daniil Medvedev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,054 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,054 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 90% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.3 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,134 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,134 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.4 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Daniil Medvedev are set to meet at the Shanghai on October 6, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fokina enters with a 30–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Medvedev has posted a 30–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Medvedev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 5–1 over Fokina, including a win in their most recent meeting.