Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutet · Match odds & ELO prediction
Toronto • Hard • Jul 30, 2025 • 9:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,163 points across 77 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,163 points across 77 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 86% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.2 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 72% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Corentin Moutet
58% · 22–16 on hard
47% · 8–9 on clay
69% · 9–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,034 points across 70 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,034 points across 70 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 49% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Corentin Moutet are set to meet at the Toronto on July 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fokina enters with a 30–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Moutet has posted a 22–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fokina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Fokina leads 2–0 over Moutet, including a win in their most recent meeting.