Aidan McHugh vs Nicolas Arseneault · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Santo Domingo 2 • Hard • Mar 27, 2025 • 1:55 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Aidan McHugh
Key insights
Player performance profile
Aidan McHugh
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
63%
10 matches tracked
Nicolas Arseneault
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~151 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~151 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Aidan McHugh and Nicolas Arseneault are set to meet at the M25 Santo Domingo 2 on March 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. McHugh enters with a 45–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Arseneault has posted a 26–20 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for McHugh entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, McHugh leads 2–0 over Arseneault, including a win in their most recent meeting.