Aidan McHugh vs Alexander Ritschard · Match odds & ELO prediction
Nottingham 3 • Hard • Jan 5, 2026 • 10:30 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alexander Ritschard
Key insights
Player performance profile
Aidan McHugh
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
63%
10 matches tracked
Alexander Ritschard
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~570 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~570 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.7 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Aidan McHugh and Alexander Ritschard are set to meet at the Nottingham 3 on January 5, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. McHugh enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Ritschard has posted a 3–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for McHugh entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ritschard leads 2–0 over McHugh, including a win in their most recent meeting.