Agustin Tirante Thiago vs Daniil Medvedev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 12, 2026 • 7:55 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Daniil Medvedev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Agustin Tirante Thiago
54% · 7–6 on hard
67% · 8–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,706 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,706 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 76% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.6 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 10% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,464 points across 77 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,464 points across 77 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 76% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.4 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Agustin Tirante Thiago and Daniil Medvedev are set to meet at the Rome on May 12, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Thiago enters with a 8–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Medvedev has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Medvedev, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 1–0 over Thiago, including a win in their most recent meeting.


