Adrian Mannarino vs Jesper De Jong · Match odds & ELO prediction
Beijing • Hard • Sep 24, 2025 • 5:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Adrian Mannarino
Key insights
Player performance profile
Adrian Mannarino
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,329 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,329 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 75% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 11% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jesper De Jong
0% · 0–6 on hard
56% · 9–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,292 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,292 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.6 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 56% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Adrian Mannarino and Jesper De Jong are set to meet at the Beijing on September 24, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Mannarino enters with a 16–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Jong has posted a 12–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Mannarino, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.