Adrian Mannarino vs Bernard Tomic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Mexico City • Clay • Apr 12, 2025 • 1:45 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Adrian Mannarino
Key insights
Player performance profile
Adrian Mannarino
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,133 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,133 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 78% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.6 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 14% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Bernard Tomic
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,449 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,449 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Adrian Mannarino and Bernard Tomic are set to meet at the Mexico City on April 12, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Mannarino enters with a 5–9 record on clay courts in 2025, while Tomic has posted a 6–7 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Mannarino leads 2–1 over Tomic, including a win in their most recent meeting.