Match analytics

Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie · Match odds & ELO prediction

ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 23, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Hard

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alexander Zverev

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,343 points across 79 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.796% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.265% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.351% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
63%79% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Cameron Norrie

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,858 points across 69 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.460% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.046% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.974% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
55%61% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alexander Zverev and Cameron Norrie are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 23, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Zverev enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Norrie has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. This will be the first meeting between Zverev and Norrie at the professional level.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Zverev and Norrie have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.