Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 7, 2026 • 7:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Casper Ruud
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Shevchenko
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,417 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,417 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.2 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 28% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Casper Ruud
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,592 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,592 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.1 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 84% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Shevchenko and Casper Ruud are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 7, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Shevchenko enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Ruud has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ruud entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ruud leads 2–0 over Shevchenko, including a win in their most recent meeting.