Andrey Rublev vs Gabriel Diallo · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 7, 2026 • 9:10 PM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,188 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,188 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 86% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.9 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gabriel Diallo
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,115 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,115 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 62% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrey Rublev and Gabriel Diallo are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 7, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Rublev enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Diallo has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rublev, but the gap is not overwhelming. This will be the first meeting between Rublev and Diallo at the professional level.