Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 26, 2026 • 9:00 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Anastasia Potapova
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,588 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,588 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.8 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jelena Ostapenko
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,495 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,495 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Anastasia Potapova and Jelena Ostapenko are set to meet at the Madrid on April 26, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Potapova enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Ostapenko has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Potapova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ostapenko leads 2–0 over Potapova, including a win in their most recent meeting.