Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struff · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 12:00 PM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexandre Muller
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,382 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,382 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 40% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.5 | 89% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 72% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jan-Lennard Struff
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,415 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,415 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 64% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.0 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexandre Muller and Jan-Lennard Struff are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Muller enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Struff has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Muller entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.