Anhelina Kalinina vs Naomi Osaka · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 25, 2026 • 7:30 PM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Anhelina Kalinina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,882 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,882 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 12% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Naomi Osaka
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,904 points across 46 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,904 points across 46 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.8 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.9 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 82% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Anhelina Kalinina and Naomi Osaka are set to meet at the Madrid on April 25, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kalinina enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Osaka has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Osaka, but the gap is not overwhelming. This will be the first meeting between Kalinina and Osaka at the professional level.