Alexander Bublik vs Martin Etcheverry Tomas · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 23, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,690 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,690 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.0 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Martin Etcheverry Tomas
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,310 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,310 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 49% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.7 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Bublik and Martin Etcheverry Tomas are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 23, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Bublik enters with a 4–0 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tomas has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tomas entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bublik leads 1–0 over Tomas, including a win in their most recent meeting.