Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Geneva • Clay • May 21, 2026 • 6:25 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alexander Bublik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arthur Rinderknech
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,623 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,623 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.8 | 56% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,471 points across 75 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,471 points across 75 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 90% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.2 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arthur Rinderknech and Alexander Bublik are set to meet at the Geneva on May 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Rinderknech enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Bublik has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bublik entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.