BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien · Match odds & ELO prediction

Geneva • Clay • May 21, 2026 • 4:10 PM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Learner Tien

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alex Michelsen

HARD

63% · 127 on hard

CLAY

33% · 24 on clay

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,208 points across 70 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.546% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.243% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.855% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
65%85% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Learner Tien

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,989 points across 84 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.037% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.479% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.676% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
53%57% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alex Michelsen and Learner Tien are set to meet at the Geneva on May 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Michelsen enters with a 2–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Tien has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Michelsen entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Michelsen leads 3–2 over Tien.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Michelsen and Tien have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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