Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen · Match odds & ELO prediction
Geneva • Clay • May 20, 2026 • 4:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alex Michelsen
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stan Wawrinka
20% · 1–4 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,373 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,373 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 31% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -8.2 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 14% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex Michelsen
63% · 12–7 on hard
33% · 2–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,504 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,504 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 50% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stan Wawrinka and Alex Michelsen are set to meet at the Geneva on May 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Wawrinka enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Michelsen has posted a 2–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Michelsen, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Michelsen leads 1–0 over Wawrinka, including a win in their most recent meeting.