Vilius Gaubas vs Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 20, 2026 • 2:45 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Vilius Gaubas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Vilius Gaubas
63% · 5–3 on hard
50% · 10–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,888 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,888 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.5 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
0% · 0–2 on hard
63% · 50–30 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~664 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~664 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Vilius Gaubas and Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao are set to meet at the French Open on May 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Gaubas enters with a 10–10 record on clay courts in 2026, while Joao has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Gaubas leads 2–0 over Joao, including a win in their most recent meeting.