Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hamburg • Clay • May 19, 2026 • 1:25 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Karen Khachanov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hugo Gaston
56% · 9–7 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karen Khachanov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,417 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,417 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 31% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hugo Gaston and Karen Khachanov are set to meet at the Hamburg on May 19, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Gaston enters with a 3–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Khachanov has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Khachanov entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Khachanov leads 1–0 over Gaston, including a win in their most recent meeting.