Lucrezia Stefanini vs Alina Charaeva · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 19, 2026 • 5:30 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lucrezia Stefanini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lucrezia Stefanini
47% · 8–9 on hard
0% · 0–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,694 points across 34 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,694 points across 34 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.1 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alina Charaeva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,317 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,317 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lucrezia Stefanini and Alina Charaeva are set to meet at the French Open on May 19, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Stefanini enters with a 0–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Charaeva has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Charaeva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Stefanini leads 1–0 over Charaeva, including a win in their most recent meeting.