Arantxa Rus vs Jasmin Ortenzi · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 18, 2026 • 4:35 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Jasmin Ortenzi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arantxa Rus
44% · 4–5 on hard
14% · 1–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,292 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,292 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.1 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 25% | 8% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jasmin Ortenzi
33% · 1–2 on hard
72% · 13–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,341 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,341 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.2 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arantxa Rus and Jasmin Ortenzi are set to meet at the French Open on May 18, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Rus enters with a 1–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Ortenzi has posted a 13–5 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Ortenzi leads 1–0 over Rus, including a win in their most recent meeting.


