Matilde Jorge vs Elvina Kalieva · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 18, 2026 • 4:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Matilde Jorge
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matilde Jorge
46% · 6–7 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~236 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~236 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elvina Kalieva
75% · 15–5 on hard
57% · 8–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,928 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,928 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 62% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 6% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Matilde Jorge and Elvina Kalieva are set to meet at the French Open on May 18, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Jorge enters with a 1–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Kalieva has posted a 8–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Jorge entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Jorge leads 1–0 over Kalieva, including a win in their most recent meeting.